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A federal boost for the jobs market

Posted: August 24, 2011 - 8:23pm

Companies are not hiring, but it’s not because they’re worried about the national debt. The economy is not growing, but it’s not because the public sector is laying off union members. So why are the two major parties focusing their energies on lowering the national debt (Republicans) and funding public sector jobs (Democrats)?

When the Democrats controlled both houses of Congress and the presidency, they passed a stimulus bill that directed huge resources toward the preservation of public employee jobs. At least one dollar in four in the stimulus bill went to states or cities to directly preserve government jobs, to create new public sector jobs (via “shovel-ready projects”) or to protect those jobs by paying the burgeoning Medicaid bills that might otherwise have required states to reduce their workforces to pay for healthcare. This may have pleased the Democrats’ political base, but it didn’t address the real employment problems.

When the Republicans had blocking strength over the debt ceiling, they failed to use that power to address unemployment. Instead, they were focused on scaling back growth in government spending and resisting tax increases. That played to the Republican political base, but it did nothing immediate to help the millions of unemployed Americans.

If each side would stop focusing on pleasing its base and ask instead what can be done about unemployment, we might be able to agree on a couple of basic principles. First, for the recovery to succeed, the private sector (not the public sector) needs to hire more people. And second, the private sector can be incentivized to do so with government spending.

It will be difficult to get Democratic politicians to agree to the former, and to get Republican politicians to agree to the latter. But here is how it could work.

The federal government could agree to provide for 50 percent of a new employee’s salary if an employer adds a job and gives it to someone who’s been out of work six months or more. With more than 6 million people who’ve been unemployed that long, businesses would have a large hiring pool.

This would be costly, of course. If every one of the qualified employees was hired and received the average private sector wage ($28.10 per hour), working a 40-hour week for 50 weeks a year, the price tag would be $175 billion a year. But to put the numbers in context, the stimulus bill cost $787 billion.

Where would we get the $175 billion? The Federal Reserve could provide the funds, with no serious risk of inflation and without any increase in the debt ceiling. In 2009, private banks sold the Fed large numbers of mortgage-backed securities that had been clogging up their balance sheets. Since then, the Fed has been selling those securities, often at a profit. In similar fashion, the companies that hire people under this program would sell the Fed corporate bonds or restricted stock, as the company prefers. The bonds could be created so as not to be payable, and the stock not convertible into common stock, until the company has increased its profits substantially and could easily repay the sums.

To minimize the temptation for employers to wait until a worker has been out of work for six months, we should make the amount the federal government will provide proportionate to the amount of time the employee has been out of work, sliding from, say, 10 percent of salary for an employee out of work at just six months up to the maximum of 50 percent at, say, a year out of work. To prevent dropping a current worker to hire a long-term unemployed worker at half the cost, the employer would have to refrain from laying off workers during the time it received the subsidy for the new workers, and a reasonable time beforehand. These conditions would actually lower the overall cost of the proposal.

Cutting the cost of hiring an employee in half would provide powerful incentives to companies to hire. And as those employees began spending their paychecks, other companies would begin to expand, fueling an economic recovery that would allow companies to keep good new employees on the payroll even after the subsidies ran out.

This would be a bold step for the Fed to take alone, though it could do so. It would be far better for Congress to pass legislation encouraging the Fed to take these steps.

Is there any chance Congress would take such action? Possibly. It would not require any congressional expenditure. It would not take a tax increase. It would not require borrowing by the Treasury.

What it would do is to put pleasing political bases aside to help unemployed people find jobs.

• Campbell is dean of the School of Law at Chapman University and a professor of economics as well as law. He was a five-term Republican congressman, serving on the banking committee and the joint economic committee.

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isldandhopper
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isldandhopper 08/25/11 - 05:59 am
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GOVERNMENT

Here we go again. Why not just have the government mandate a 4 day work week at 6 hours a day anything over 6hr a day or 28 a week is triple time. Then the government can reset minimum wage & implement price controls. Then the government can legislate that 82.9% of all items purchased must be made in America regardless if the person making the items is a legal citizen or illegal alien. Once all that's on place & everyone that wants to work (rather than sit around watching the boob tube getting hi)will have the ability to pay taxes so both parties can continue.... That's right, working 6 hours a day 4 days a week taking tipple what their worth while screwing us every chance they get.
TEA

Calypso
6877
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Calypso 08/25/11 - 08:03 am
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Yeah, no kidding hopper. I'm

Yeah, no kidding hopper. I'm surprised a Chapman Univ. prof is purposing this convoluted mess for job creation.

How 'bout we just get government out of the way and let the private sector do the job creating? Pull back tons of onerous regulations (and no I didn't say have no regulations), repeal the Dodd-Frank bill and kill Obamacare? Get BO's union payback proposals out of the free trade agreements and pass those and let the private sector gear up.

And that's even before tax and entitlement reforms are considered. There'd be so much revenue coming into the government with just a few simple adjustments.

billb
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billb 08/25/11 - 09:47 am
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@Islandhopper&Calyspo

THe Republicans have done NOTHING to stimulate employment! All they have done the complain about the national debt. Please lets be grown up and take some responsibility for the mess we are in and STOP finger pointing like the Republican Party loves to do in every situation

Calypso
6877
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Calypso 08/25/11 - 09:55 am
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bill, what would you like the

bill, what would you like the republicans to do to stimulate employment? They control the House of Representatives and that's it. The democrats control the Senate and the White House. Then there are the czars that control the EPA and healthcare and many other regulatory agencies.

Soooo, the republicans are almost powerless. Let's put them in charge in 2013 and see what happens with employment! Whatya say?

kpawsuh
10137
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kpawsuh 08/25/11 - 09:55 am
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"STOP finger pointing like

"STOP finger pointing like the Republican Party loves to do in every situation" "THe Republicans have done NOTHING to stimulate employment!" You crack me up, Bill!

isldandhopper
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isldandhopper 08/25/11 - 10:08 am
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billy

Remember Billy when your pointing ay someone else you've got three fingers pointing back at you. I'm not towing anyones party line there's plenty of blame to go around.
I've gotta agree with calypso, if the governments alphabet soup would get the heck out of the way we'd be better off

billb
7783
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billb 08/25/11 - 10:17 am
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@kpawsuh

Please name one thing the Rebublicans have done to stimulate the job market. All they have done is complain about the deficit

afishisborn
-15
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afishisborn 08/25/11 - 10:32 am
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@billb

He was laughing at your blatant hypocrisy. Your presentation undermines the point you try to make. Your finger-pointing is just as bad as Calypso, Milspec, and Isldandhopper.

kpawsuh
10137
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kpawsuh 08/25/11 - 10:34 am
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Thank you fish. You are most correct.

Thank you fish. You are most correct.

isldandhopper
2487
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isldandhopper 08/25/11 - 10:54 am
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the point

Fish my point is, government cannot solve the problem. It is the problem

Persnickety Persimmon
4173
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Persnickety Persimmon 08/25/11 - 11:06 am
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@isldandhopper: you have yet

@isldandhopper: you have yet to prove that point. I'm guessing you wouldn't argue that government were the problem if you were injured in your workplace and fired due to the injury, with no medical expenses covered, or if you were paid less than a co-worker because of the color of your skin or your gender, or if the water that came out of your faucet was brown due to a private company (with no regulations) owning the water utility.

You're repeating a talking point, not an argument. And repeating it over and over doesn't make it true.

isldandhopper
2487
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isldandhopper 08/25/11 - 11:41 am
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@porcupinekisser

Pk I'm not trying to make to engage in an argument, I'm stating my belief, sorry you've got issues with that, too bad so sad

Persnickety Persimmon
4173
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Persnickety Persimmon 08/25/11 - 11:43 am
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Why do you call everyone you

Why do you call everyone you don't like a porcupine kisser? I've lived here all my life and have NEVER heard that used as an insult.

Anyway, this isn't a matter of belief, it's a matter of verifiable fact. If you have to "believe" in public policy decisions, then you don't have any evidence supporting your views and as such shouldn't hold an opinion. Otherwise you just drag everyone else down.

Julian Assange
268
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Julian Assange 08/25/11 - 12:05 pm
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better off

We are better off if OB stays on vacation. That way he will do no harm.

isldandhopper
2487
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isldandhopper 08/25/11 - 12:07 pm
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cause

The old adage holds true, a zebra cant change its strips & a porcupine can't change it's quills.
So you state you believe in what you perceive are facts, given to you by a media source. That said I except that you are entitled to your beliefs & will not belittle you because of them. I for one am comfortable in my own skin therefore need not try to enlarge my ego via trying to humiliate a stranger

akbrdguru
1075
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akbrdguru 08/25/11 - 12:35 pm
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hopper, don't waste your time

hopper, don't waste your time on PP. He's likely an only child that grew up with no friends and didn't get enough love as a child. He does nothing here but try to persuade people that their opinion isn't as valid as his. Nothing more than a school yard punk.

Persnickety Persimmon
4173
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Persnickety Persimmon 08/25/11 - 12:39 pm
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When my opinion has facts and

When my opinion has facts and figures to back it up and the other doesn't, then yes, my opinion is more valid. That's how reality works.

Calypso
6877
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Calypso 08/25/11 - 01:39 pm
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And then when p has had

And then when p has had enough and lost the argument, he pushes the Ignore User button on the post!!

He thinks that if he plugs his ears and hums real loud, he has won!

fromdustreturned
1468
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fromdustreturned 08/25/11 - 01:28 pm
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Grammar lessons

"were" is the subjunctive case, accompanying and agreeing with "would", implying a potential state that is not necessarily currently true. In quoting the original post, the sentence under consideration was prematurely terminated with a period, not continued into the second clause of the subjunctive construct.

And "grammar" is not spelled "grammer"

Calypso
6877
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Calypso 08/25/11 - 01:39 pm
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Dang dust, you're smart! I'm

Dang dust, you're smart! I'm going to delete that paragraph.

I learned something today about subjunctive cases - thanks!

My bad, on "grammar".

swimmergirl
4368
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swimmergirl 08/25/11 - 02:12 pm
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It is pretty amusing....

that in the news today there are on the east coast (3?) Republican "government is the problem and should get out of the way" governors asking for?........you guessed it - government disaster assistance for hurricane Irene.

It's pretty easy to talk about cutting regulations so that business can do it's thing - until you are the one affected by immoral business practices, or some company is giving your kids cancer by dumping chromium 6 in your drinking water to increase their profit margin. Cutting banking regulations got us into this mess, correct?

It's also easy to say that less taxes = more private jobs, but clearly that's too simplistic, given in the last 10 years that certainly hasn't been the case. Beginning in 2000, Dell moved 40% of it's workforce overseas, and that was during the lowest tax rates since the 50's. GE - paid $0, and also moved a large portion of their workforce overseas.

I believe the question remains, and has been unanswered - what has the Republican party done to grow jobs?

isldandhopper
2487
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isldandhopper 08/25/11 - 08:27 pm
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and

I know what your complaint is, but your point is? Remember
2 wrongs don't make a right, but two writes make an Airplane?

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