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Could supply-side economics help the economy?

Supply-side economics worked wonders for Reagan; Obama should give it a shot

Posted: July 6, 2012 - 12:05am

WASHINGTON — Supply-side economics is summed up in the phrase from “The Field of Dreams”: “Build it and they will come.”

The “build” in this case is entrepreneurs and businesses producing more goods and services at lower cost, which consumers will then buy. Encouraging the production process fosters economic growth by satisfying the wants and needs of more people at decreasing cost, from sewing machines and automobiles — the first industries to use mass production to lower costs and increase output — to computers and cell phones and athletic shoes and cartons of yogurt.

Increase the range and supply of goods, the supply-sider says, and demand — the other critical part of the economic equation — will take care of itself.

Others, like the followers of British economist John Maynard Keynes, disagree. They say it’s the demand for products and services that fosters innovation and growth — demand created by individuals or the government it doesn’t matter. In fact, since government has lots of money, it can stimulate growth faster by spending it quicker. Indeed, the more, the better.

The supply-sider sees this formula as wrong-headed. The marketplace, as opposed to government, knows best where economic effort should go to satisfy demand based on consumer tastes. Producers who get their goods and services out there at the lowest cost, will get the biggest rewards — as will consumers.

So the top economic priority is making sure producers are free to expand capacity to produce more, and install new technologies that will produce those goods faster and cheaper or even create entirely new products and services.

That’s why supply-siders favor various kinds of economic deregulation — so that investment is free to go where it can do the most good — and like tax cuts, especially cuts in capital gains and in marginal tax rates on higher income brackets.

That’s not because they think rich people should have more money. It’s because people with higher incomes are more likely to capitalize their savings as investments aimed at bringing a lucrative return, whether it’s expanding their own business (as when a dry cleaner opens a new store and hires new workers to run it) or someone else’s.

Some call this “trickle down” economics. It’s really “let the capital flow economics, and it’s what stimulates new businesses, new technologies, new jobs and bigger paychecks for everyone.

The real test of any economic theory is, does it work? President Obama and his advisers tried the Keynesian “stimulus” formula to get the country back on track after the 2007-8 recession. The result has been the slowest economic recovery in modern history.

In 1980, by contrast, President Ronald Reagan self-consciously tried the supply-side formula for the first time by rolling back regulations; imposing capital gains and personal income tax cuts; and making it clear America was back in business again.

The result was 12 years of sustained economic growth in a row — the longest unbroken expansion in American history — with an average GNP growth rate of 3.2 percent. Twenty-one million jobs were created; even government revenues rose — a paradox created by the fact that the increased economic activity generated more taxable income.

Will a new round of tax-cuts revive this economy? The evidence seems clear, but the Keynesians will still be unhappy. They admit economic growth happened in the Reagan years, but insist it was the “wrong” kind of growth because it was aimed at satisfying fleeting consumer tastes, instead of creating new infrastructure or green jobs or something.

This reminds me of the scene in a Woody Allen movie, when a woman tells him her doctor says she’s been having the wrong kind of orgasm. “Really?” he replies. “I’ve never had the wrong kind. My worst one was right on the money.”

Right now, Americans are ready for some growth that’s on the money.

• Herman is a visiting scholar at conservative the American Enterprise Institute.

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Grendel
1151
Points
Grendel 07/06/12 - 08:24 am
4
2

Demand-side sounds sensible...

Demand for products & services sounds sensible, except when the biggest provider is the govt, the products & services are the Dole, and the revenue is getting squeezed from the producers (aka 1%ers).
Supply-side works when ‘innovation’ is more than just a buzz-word. The economic environment has to encourage risk by 1) alleviating the cost of doing business and 2) making the fruits of successful venture lucrative. Otherwise, why risk it when you’re nothing more than a waypoint for the $$$ you earned because it’s going to a govt that’s eager to redistribute it?
Idea People would be willing to take the risk that their idea will catch on (innovation), rather than settle for mediocrity and say 20 yrs later, ‘I shoulda done that…instead I put on my marching shoes and occupied skid row.’

islander
1257
Points
islander 07/06/12 - 09:39 am
1
3

some reality

Henry Ford knew he had to have customers in order to sell cars. To that end he knew his employees would not become customers if they did not earn enough to pay for a car. Thus he increased his wages to $ 5 a day to entice his employees to buy cars. There was no supply side economics in his success. It was based on the simplest concept that you can not sell what is not wanted or affordable.

Kodiak, one of America cornerstones of capitalism recently went broke. After 100 years of being in business they failed not because of regulations, but due to a lack of customers for their products. Kodak failed to change as technology made the film camera obsolete in the consumer goods market. They continued to believe they could sell what wasn't needed.

I find those who promote the deregulation of everything as a way to improve free enterprise and the economy are first to cry when it come to eliminating the quota on monopolistic business such as liquor licensees, tax medallions, limited entry permits, or any other controlled number of businesses allowed to operate some endeavor . Instantly they will tell you without limits on the number they could not make a profit. It seems the deregulation is only important when they are not one of those affected by deregulation.

Newt in his infinite ability to open moth and insert foot claimed business would best be served if minimum wage and all other labor laws were repealed. Apparently Newt did not understand Henry Ford's success.

Calypso
6974
Points
Calypso 07/06/12 - 01:32 pm
2
2

@islander - there seems to be

@islander - there seems to be differing opinions on Henry Ford's wage increase for his employees.

I like this explanation - it more closely mirrors a private sector entrepreneur's mind-set, like Ford was -

"It was not an act of charity, but one that was necessary because of the insatiable demand for the Model T that was peaking in 1914.

Henry Ford did not have much compassion for the average factory worker. He did not increase his employees’ wages out of the kindness of his heart. Ford did nothing out of the kindness of his heart. He instituted the first $5 a day wage in 1914 for the company’s benefit rather than for his employees’ benefit. The $5 a day wage was more than twice the daily wage of the average factory worker in 1914.

Specifically, the turnover rate of employees on Ford’s assembly line was extremely high. Because of the low pay, hard work and long hours, many workers would quit, some in a month, others in weeks or days. This was a HUGE problem as, in 1914, demand for the Model T was peaking. This adversely affected production, i.e., the daily production could not keep up with the insatiable demand for the Model T. Ford knew he could sell more cars and he could only sell more cars by limiting turnover and keeping employees on the assembly line. Ford’s duplicitous $5 a day strategy worked although the general public was duped, or at the very least erroneously inferred, it was a magnanimous gesture by Ford. Applicants were lined up daily outside the Ford plant for months after this wage was implemented.

VOLUME SALES = HANDSOME PROFITS & HUGE MARKET SHARE:

“In October 1908, the first Model T Fords were sold for $950. As Henry Ford found new ways to reduce production costs, he passed the savings on to consumers as lower prices. By 1912, the car was selling for $575. It was the first time that a new car had sold for less than the average wage of U.S. workers. The price of the Model T would continue to drop during its 19 years in production, at one point dipping as low as $280. With each price cut, more and more consumers could afford to buy the cars.

This reduction in price meant that Ford's profit margins (on each Model T) decreased but its revenues increased. How was that possible? In 1909 the profit on a car was $220. By 1914, the margin had dropped to $99. But sales were exploding. While profit margins on individual cars were smaller, the added sales volume increased total profits. During this period, the company’s net income rose from $3 million to $25 million. Its U.S. market share rose from 9.4 percent in 1908 to a remarkable 48 percent in 1914.”

Grendel
1151
Points
Grendel 07/06/12 - 11:29 am
2
1

@Calypso

at the same time, I would imagine, the cost of feeding and boarding a horse or team of horses had pretty much flat-lined. But they still took constant care...In a car you could actually jaunt into town, pick up a few things, and be back on the farm before noon. What an innovation! What would you do with all that time on your hands and no XBox, yet?

madison89
1040
Points
madison89 07/07/12 - 03:42 am
2
0

FREE markets always preform

Unpublished

FREE markets always preform better, especially over the long run, than that provided by the force of government.
We are now paying the price for Obama's economic incompetence.

" The unemployment rate last month was unchanged from May. But a broader measure of weakness in the labor market, the so-called underemployment rate, deteriorated for the second straight month.

In June, 14.9 percent of Americans either were unemployed, had given up looking for work or had been forced to settle for part-time employment. The rate was 14.8 percent in May and 14.5 percent in April.

The Labor Department report left economists grasping for good news. Average hourly pay rose 6 cents in June, the biggest monthly gain in nearly a year. The average workweek grew. And companies hired 25,000 temporary workers, usually a sign that they were will hire full-time workers soon.

"That we latch on to these modest positives speaks to the bias of low expectations," Greenhaus said.

Meantime, 12.7 million Americans remain unemployed."

http://washingtonexaminer.com/economy-adds-80000-jobs-in-another-weak-mo...

madison89
1040
Points
madison89 07/07/12 - 04:55 am
2
0

Disability Ranks Outpace New

Unpublished

Disability Ranks Outpace New Jobs In Obama Recovery
" More workers joined the federal government's disability program in June than got new jobs, according to two new government reports, a clear indicator of how bleak the nation's jobs picture is after three full years of economic recovery."

http://news.investors.com/article/617233/201207061636/disability-climbs-...

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