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Allowing tax cuts to expire would push America's struggling economy off cliff

Posted: July 27, 2012 - 12:04am

WASHINGTON — No piece of legislation before the U.S. Congress requires action more urgently than extending the tax cuts of 2001 and 2003. Failure to act will deal a devastating blow to our fragile economy by slowing growth and killing jobs — at the worst possible time.

If the 2001 and 2003 tax rates are allowed to expire at midnight on Dec. 31, we’ll witness the largest single tax hike in U.S. history — hitting American taxpayers with $400 billion in new taxes in the first year and $4.5 trillion over the next decade.

Marginal tax rates, as well as dividends and capital gains taxes, will rise. This will squarely hit taxpayers — ranging from the investors who pour capital into job creation to retirees and workers planning for retirement.

The estate tax will come roaring back to 55 percent, and the exemption threshold will dip from $5 million estates to $1 million — threatening the livelihood of many small businesses and family farms. In addition to the 2001 and 2003 tax rates, relief from the alternative minimum tax will lapse, along with many vital business tax provisions.

President Obama and many from his party say that the 2001 and 2003 tax rates should not be extended for those earning $250,000 or more — the so-called wealthy. But nearly a million successful small and family-owned businesses that file their taxes as pass-through entities will get swept up in the tax hike.

Many of these businesses could see their top tax rates rise from 35 percent to nearly 45 percent. And a heavier tax burden on our nation’s job creators will have a chilling effect on hiring and expansion.

Preventing the historic tax hikes is essential, but it’s not the only economic threat. Lawmakers must also contend with the $1.2 trillion in automatic budget cuts that will be triggered on Jan. 1.

The ill-designed, across-the-board discretionary spending cuts — a result of the failed Deficit Supercommittee — were never intended to take effect. If they do, they will disproportionately cut $500 billion in military spending. What’s worse, they will fail to address the real drivers of runaway spending — massive and growing entitlement programs.

Many economists warn that this dangerous combination of tax hikes and spending cuts, dubbed “the fiscal cliff” in Washington, could drag our economy back into a recession.

According to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, going over the fiscal cliff could cause growth to stall to a feeble 0.5 percent in 2013. A substantial slowing of economic growth will accelerate unemployment.

Some leading economists project job losses between 300,000 and 2.9 million stemming from the tax hikes alone. And if the indiscriminate automatic spending cuts take effect, some sectors will be hit hard with job losses — 1 million defense and manufacturing jobs are expected to be wiped out in just two years.

The Chamber of Commerce urges Congress and the president to take swift action to stabilize the economy, drive growth and create jobs. Our leaders should extend the tax rates of 2001 and 2003 immediately and for all Americans. They should make smart and significant spending cuts — not with a meat ax, but strategically and fairly.

The short-term crisis is avoidable — if lawmakers will act. But it will also take action to prevent a deeper future crisis, driven by an arcane, uncompetitive tax code and a looming entitlement crisis that threatens the very solvency of our nation.

A plan to move forward to address the fiscal cliff could give lawmakers the opportunity to take the necessary first steps toward fundamental reforms. They should seize it. By agreeing to a timetable for meaningful tax and entitlement reforms our leaders can show that they are also serious about our long-term fiscal health.

• Josten is executive vice president for government affairs at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.

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Latitude58
14742
Points
Latitude58 07/27/12 - 08:20 am
4
8

Easy

Keep the middle class tax cuts. Jettison the rest. How soon they forget the deficit. It will take taxes to pay off the credit card bill.

fromdustreturned
1468
Points
fromdustreturned 07/27/12 - 09:06 am
6
2

Citations

What "studies", and please define "taxing everybody the way they want to".

adcme9
335
Points
adcme9 07/27/12 - 09:15 am
6
7

adcme9

I've grown weary of the tripe about the wealthy being "job creators". Started with Ronnie Reagan back in the early 80's.

I will say one thing - Ronnie was right about trickle down economics. The flow of money to the middle class has slowed to all but a trickle, despite obscene company profits.

So we've realized Ronnie's dream and money is flowing like Ebner falls into the hands of the rich and slowed to a trickle for everyone else. So, where's the jobs, job creators?

lvmykyk
1805
Points
lvmykyk 07/27/12 - 10:50 am
3
6

not disputing

The insane profits of many companies. Honestly, I don't why on earth would anyone need to make more than 1 million a year? This would include celebrities, athletes and the like. Not really sure they are carrying their weight either.

But if companies are not the job creator's, who are?

swimmergirl
4371
Points
swimmergirl 07/27/12 - 11:40 am
4
3

lvmykyk - I believe

that 'government' - which includes (I'm assuming) your local librarian, the person who teaches your 3rd grader, the fireman who comes and saves your house, the city worker who plows our roads, and yes, the people who staff the IRS and process your taxes, who compile and print (and write bills to create) our laws, who print the social security checks, drive the tanks, police the borders, rescue people at sea, find and destroy shipments of cocaine from columbia, and crunch the budget numbers in some office in D.C. etc. etc. etc.
is now a larger employer nationwide than the private sector.

This could be incorrect, it is difficult to find a reliable source that isn't a blog and is easily read.
I saw one chart that said restaurants employ more people than anything else - which I think I could believe...

or this chart might help.

http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_201.htm

Tikitime
3134
Points
Tikitime 07/27/12 - 12:53 pm
4
7

@adcme9

No one said the wealthy are the job creators...businesses, however, are the job creators. They have chosen at this time to NOT hire anyone in the USA because of the taxes on their product or services are too high. they are waiting to see how much Obamacare is gonna hurt them before they hire anyone. If you owned a business in this economy you too would wait to hire. we must repeal obamacare if we want jobs to show up.

Persnickety Persimmon
4173
Points
Persnickety Persimmon 07/27/12 - 01:07 pm
4
4

@Tikitime: do you have any

@Tikitime: do you have any proof of this assertion? I've always been under the impression that businesses hire people when they need more employees, and that they need more employees when consumer demand exceeds their current production capacity.

Persnickety Persimmon
4173
Points
Persnickety Persimmon 07/27/12 - 01:26 pm
3
5

@Rough Cut: since only

@Rough Cut: since only profits are taxed, it doesn't make any sense that companies would forego profit entirely simply because they don't know how much of it they'll get to keep.

Tell me, do you think of these arguments yourself, or do you perhaps get them from a certain television channel?

Grendel
1151
Points
Grendel 07/27/12 - 02:04 pm
3
2

@2P

I think Rough Cut's got some valid points, but I'm open to your interpretation of the data: So why are jobs going overseas when we've got a large idle workforce at home? Does it have anything to do with massed capital not being invested in the US market? Consumer demand in key sectors is fairly stable - textiles, perishables, the stuff to keep a household running - yet domestic production is down.

Your best estimate will do.

Persnickety Persimmon
4173
Points
Persnickety Persimmon 07/27/12 - 02:25 pm
3
1

Yes, key sectors are

Yes, key sectors are stable--and key sectors also don't have much room to grow into. With advances in automation and outsourcing to places with fewer labor laws, corporations can reap profits without having to hire U.S. residents to do their jobs.

If you do look at the data, corporate profits are way up since the recession ended, but employment is not. Seems to me that corporations have simply found out that, in the short-term, it is more profitable to treat the U.S. as a consumer base, not a production base (which is stupid, because in the long-term, it means we'll have no money with which to purchase consumer goods).

The solution is to either make it less profitable for companies to import goods than to produce them here, or to lower our own standards to those of China. The former is unlikely because taxes are always bad or something, so we're headed towards the latter by default.

The bottom line is that businesses hire employees when they have to in order to meet demand. They don't sit around and dilly-dally for fear of being taxed more sometime in the future (at which point they can easily LET EMPLOYEES GO).

dennyh
3271
Points
dennyh 07/27/12 - 02:37 pm
4
2

Jobs

Another (and one that might be the most appropriate) is that companies and corporations are finding out that the people that are hired by them are willing to work harder to keep their jobs. Why hire more when it is not necessary?

Grendel
1151
Points
Grendel 07/27/12 - 03:10 pm
4
0

2P

From your options: what’s wrong with tariffs? Seems like it would be good press for the administration to come out and say We support the American worker, and we’re going to protect you with higher tariffs on foreign goods coming in. This administration has side-stepped the tedium of legal process before, so there should be no hang ups if it will play well.

The bottom line is that corporations are sitting on capital for some apparent reason, and likely not a stupid one. There is marked reluctance to inject it into the economy in the form of domestic production. Meanwhile, there is also reluctance on the part of the administration to develop sectors we alone should run: domestic and off-shore energy, and the supporting infrastructure.

And while neither side will budge, the near-term fix is to dust off the 2001& 2003 tax cuts and tantalize the electorate with their extension, except for those filthy rich buggers who must pay their fair share. Sounds like a scheme concocted by the Choom Gang: get the skinny white guy in the Van and make him pay for the munchies run.

Persnickety Persimmon
4173
Points
Persnickety Persimmon 07/27/12 - 03:36 pm
3
2

@Grendel: those "filthy rich

@Grendel: those "filthy rich buggers" are the problem. Leaving aside for a moment the morality of the notion that those with power craft policies to keep themselves in power (and that this undermines the point of a democratic form of government), the accumulation of wealth is bad for the economy. Money that is not spent is money that can't be taxed or used for any tangible purpose. So when you have those filthy rich buggers living off of stock trades, dividends, and interest, they are contributing nothing to society and are, in fact, taking more from a limited pool, leaving less for the rest of us. That's the point of taxing them. Same deal with corporations. The money you paid for that iPhone sits in Apple's coffers and has been effectively removed from the economy, making cash a scarcer commodity.

And yes, let's do tariffs! Do you want to fly to D.C. together, or meet up when we get there? I'm sure the moneyed interests in Washington will welcome our idea with open arms.

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