Forecast calls for strong Cook Inlet sockeye run

ANCHORAGE — A strong sockeye salmon run is forecast for Upper Cook Inlet next year.

The 2014 forecast by the Alaska Department of Fish and Game expects 6.1 million sockeyes, or red salmon, according to the Alaska Journal of Commerce (

The forecast, released last month, also includes a predicted range of between 4.4 million to 7.8 million sockeyes.

At the 6.1 million level, Fish and Game calls for a total harvest of 4.3 million sockeyes and an escapement of 1.8 million fish to all rivers, mainly the Kenai River.

Upper Cook Inlet sockeye are caught in personal use, sport, subsistence and commercial fisheries.

About 2.6 million sockeyes were caught in regional commercial fisheries this year. About 3.4 million fish was the average harvest between 2003 and 2012.

The 2014 forecast calls for a sockeye run of about 3.8 million fish in the Kenai River. That would be equal to the 20 year average, but with a far larger proportion of fish that spent two years in freshwater and three years in the ocean.

The 2013 run on the Kenai was estimated at 3.5 million, with an escapement of about 1.35 million. That’s more than the escapement goal range between 1 million and 1.2 million sockeyes.

On the Kasilof River, a run of 1.06 million fish is forecast for next year. That would be less than the 1.08 million fish seen this year, but it would be more than the 20 year average of 953,000 sockeye.

On Susitna River, the forecast calls for 264,000 fish, substantially down from the 461,000 sockeye this year, as well as the 20 year average of 430,000.

Upper Cook Inlet sockeye runs this year came in well below the forecast. An estimated 3.5 million sockeyes were harvested in the region. The forecast had called for 4.9 million fish.


Fri, 03/24/2017 - 06:26

Anchorage police arrest suspect in train monument vandalism

ANCHORAGE — Anchorage police acting on a tip have arrested a teenager suspected of painting graffiti on a train locomotive that stands as a monument... Read more

Fri, 03/24/2017 - 06:25

Renovations planned for UAS Ketchikan maritime facilities

KETCHIKAN — Construction is expected to start later this year on a nearly $6 million overhaul of University of Alaska Southeast Ketchikan’s Regional Maritime and... Read more

Thu, 03/23/2017 - 13:35

Walker: Up to 45,000 Alaskans could lose coverage with GOP bill

JUNEAU — Gov. Bill Walker says as many as 45,000 Alaskans could lose health care coverage under a Republican bill proposed in the U.S. House.... Read more

Around the Web



  • Switchboard: 907-586-3740
  • Circulation and Delivery: 907-586-3740
  • Newsroom Fax: 907-586-9097
  • Business Fax: 907-586-9097
  • Accounts Receivable: 907-523-2230
  • View the Staff Directory
  • or Send feedback