Walker administration resurrects plan to borrow for pension shortfall

ANCHORAGE — Alaska Gov. Bill Walker’s administration is resurrecting a stalled plan under which it would use borrowed money to reduce the hundreds of millions of dollars that the state pays into its pension funds each year.

The plan calls for as much as $3.2 billion in borrowing through pension obligation bonds, according to a letter to state lawmakers sent by Revenue Commissioner Randy Hoffbeck last week.

Walker’s administration considered a similar plan earlier this year but ultimately dropped it after lawmakers gave the complicated plan a hostile reception, citing its potential risks.

At the time, Hoffbeck said the borrowing wouldn’t happen without legislative approval. But now, since lawmakers aren’t in session, Walker’s administration isn’t expecting to seek permission, said Jerry Burnett, deputy revenue commissioner.

The executive branch, through a state corporation led by top Walker administration officials, can unilaterally issue up to $5 billion in pension obligation bonds without legislative approval based on 2008 legislation sponsored by Rep. Mike Hawker, R-Anchorage.

Lawmakers would ultimately have to appropriate money to pay back the borrowed cash, however.

Hoffbeck, Burnett, and two other Walker administration officials were traveling to New York City on Monday to discuss the bonds with financial firms and ratings agencies.

A meeting of the state corporation, the Pension Obligation Bond Corp., is scheduled for next week, when a resolution to approve issuing the bonds is up for consideration.

The corporation’s board members are three deputy commissioners in Walker’s administration: Burnett, John Boucher of the administration department, and Fred Parady of the commerce department.

One member of the House leadership, Fairbanks Republican Rep. Steve Thompson, said he wanted more information about the transaction before it went forward.

“On the surface, it sounds good. But what’s the downside?” Thompson, a co-chair of the House Finance Committee, said in a phone interview Monday. “We’ve got to get some answers, I think, before we move forward with it.”

Here’s how the pension obligation bonds would work:

Each year, Alaska pays hundreds of millions of dollars into the pension systems, which cover retired teachers and other public employees.

A portion of those annual payments covers a funding shortfall, plus 8 percent — the state’s assumed rate of return on the money that’s currently in the pension funds.

Under the Walker administration’s preliminary proposal, the state would borrow as much as $3.2 billion using pension bonds.

The borrowed money would then be invested in the pension funds to cover a big chunk of the shortfall. And instead of paying the 8 percent interest rate it’s currently paying on the shortfall, the state expects that it would be paying less than 4 percent interest on the bonds.

The state would still have to pay back the borrowed money. But if all the assumptions are borne out, those payments would cost less than if the pension shortfall was paid back bit by bit, resulting in significant savings.

Initial projections say the state could save more than $500 million on payments to the teachers pension system alone over the 23-year lifetime of the bonds.

Burnett compared the transaction to refinancing a home mortgage and said it would be “next to impossible for it to be a bad deal over a long period.” He acknowledged, however, that it could “look really bad” if the state borrowed the money and the market crashed soon afterward, because then the state would be faced with the same pension shortfall, plus a new obligation to pay back the cash it just borrowed.

The bonds have drawn criticism from some financial experts for the risks involved, and because some governments have favored them as a type of accounting trick to facilitate payments into a pension system that are lower than they’re supposed to be, according to an analysis by the website ProPublica.

The Government Finance Officers Association counsels against the bonds due to their complexity and potential risk.

The effectiveness of the bonds depends on how they’re timed, said Matt Fabian, an analyst and partner at Municipal Market Analytics, a financial research firm based in Massachusetts.

They can pay off if the economy is growing, he said.

“Every pension bond isn’t a bad bond. But every pension bond has some risks,” Fabian said in a phone interview Monday. “It could increase the long-term cost to the state if the investments underperform, or are ultimately lost in the market.”

Hoffbeck, in his letter to lawmakers, said there’s currently an “opportunity” in the market, with interest rates dropping by 1 percent since the first proposed version of the bonds — an opportunity that could produce savings and consistency in the state’s pension payments, he said.

• This story first appeared in the Alaska Dispatch News. It is republished here with permission.

More in News

(Juneau Empire file photo)
Aurora forecast through the week of Dec. 22

These forecasts are courtesy of the University of Alaska Fairbanks’ Geophysical Institute… Continue reading

State Rep. Sara Hannan talks with visitors outside her office at the Alaska State Capitol during the annual holiday open house hosted by Juneau’s legislative delegation on Friday. (Mark Sabbatini / Juneau Empire)
A moving holiday season for Juneau’s legislators

Delegation hosts annual open house as at least two prepare to occupy better offices as majority members.

The U.S. Capitol in Washington, Dec. 18, 2024. The Senate passed bipartisan legislation early Saturday that would give full Social Security benefits to a group of public sector retirees who currently receive them at a reduced level, sending the bill to President JOE Biden. (Kenny Holston/The New York Times)
Congress OKs full Social Security benefits for public sector retirees, including 15,000 in Alaska

Biden expected to sign bill that eliminates government pension offset from benefits.

Pauline Plumb and Penny Saddler carry vegetables grown by fellow gardeners during the 29th Annual Juneau Community Garden Harvest Fair on Saturday, Aug. 19, 2023. (Mark Sabbatini / Juneau Empire file photo)
Dunleavy says he plans to reestablish state Department of Agriculture via executive order

Demoted to division status after statehood, governor says revival will improve food production policies.

Alan Steffert, a project engineer for the City and Borough of Juneau, explains alternatives considered when assessing infrastructure improvements including utilities upgrades during a meeting to discuss a proposed fee increase Thursday night at Thunder Mountain Middle School. (Mark Sabbatini / Juneau Empire)
Hike of more than 60% in water rates, 80% in sewer over next five years proposed by CBJ utilities

Increase needed due to rates not keeping up with inflation, officials say; Assembly will need to OK plan.

Gov. Mike Dunleavy and President-elect Donald Trump (left) will be working as chief executives at opposite ends of the U.S. next year, a face constructed of rocks on Sandy Beach is seen among snow in November (center), and KINY’s prize patrol van (right) flashes its colors outside the station this summer. (Photos, from left to right, from Gov. Mike Dunleavy’s office, Elliot Welch via Juneau Parks and Recreation, and Mark Sabbatini via the Juneau Empire)
Juneau’s 10 strangest news stories of 2024

Governor’s captivating journey to nowhere, woman who won’t leave the beach among those making waves.

Police calls for Wednesday, Dec. 18, 2024

This report contains public information from law enforcement and public safety agencies.

The U.S. Capitol on Wednesday. Funding for the federal government will lapse at 8:01 p.m. Alaska time on Friday if no deal is reached. (Kenny Holston/The New York Times)
A federal government shutdown may begin tonight. Here’s what may happen.

TSA will still screen holiday travelers, military will work without paychecks; food stamps may lapse.

The cover image from Gov. Mike Dunleavy’s “Alaska Priorities For Federal Transition” report. (Office of the Governor)
Loch Ness ducks or ‘vampire grebes’? Alaska governor report for Trump comes with AI hallucinations

A ChatGPT-generated image of Alaska included some strange-looking waterfowl.

Most Read