UAS Student Body President Nick Bursell speaks at a rally for funding the University of Alaska in front of the Capitol on Wednesday, Feb. 13, 2019. (Michael Penn | Juneau Empire)

UAS Student Body President Nick Bursell speaks at a rally for funding the University of Alaska in front of the Capitol on Wednesday, Feb. 13, 2019. (Michael Penn | Juneau Empire)

Opinion: More state budget cuts are coming next year — will Alaskans be ready?

Probably not.

  • By Win Gruening
  • Thursday, September 5, 2019 1:43pm
  • Opinion

Gov. Mike Dunleavy’s quest to balance the state budget reached its first milestone. On Aug. 19, Dunleavy achieved what very few thought was possible – almost $680 million in hard cuts in finalizing Alaska’s FY 2020 budget.

While this was unprecedented, it only constituted the first step in the primary goal he advocated during his gubernatorial campaign – a sustainable budget.

After all the legislative special sessions, public hearings and political fights in 2019, it’s hard to imagine going through a contentious budget battle again next year.

However, it appears that we will. Yet, judging from much of the reaction around the state, not many believe it.

Alaskans’ debate on the size of the Permanent Fund Dividend has dominated the discussion in the hope that it could, by itself, resolve all of Alaska’s budget issues.

In some ways, though, it was a diversion. Even with the currently reduced Permanent Fund Dividend of approximately $1,600, Alaska must deal with a $730 million budget deficit next year.

Granted, final decisions on the current cuts and PFD amount were not determined until recently.

But hoping to forestall the inevitable by mounting a recall effort — or thinking that ratcheting up taxes on the oil industry will save us — is wishful thinking.

Suffering from denial, many school districts and municipalities have been reluctant to take the necessary measures to prepare for the continuing pressure on their budgets.

The mistake some local governmental entities will make is to assume that Alaskans will accept higher property taxes, sales taxes or debt before considering further cuts or less onerous revenue measures.

Let’s face it, we Alaskans have been living beyond our means for many years and our local governments, school districts and, to a degree, even some nonprofits have escaped serious scrutiny of their overhead, adherence to mission and efficiencies.

As a local taxpayer, wouldn’t you want to make sure unnecessary or wasteful operations or practices were identified, curtailed or eliminated before you agreed to a hike in taxes? Or will you just assume that local programs and services are all operating at peak efficiency?

Before committing to new projects or services, wouldn’t you want to know that funding will be prioritized to meet basic needs of public safety and health and required standards of maintenance of public facilities?

The discussions surrounding these questions need to happen sooner rather than later.

Education will remain the elephant in the room. K-12 school construction debt reimbursement was reduced by half this year.

Looking ahead, the other half will be on the chopping block along with possible changes to the base student allocation and the confusing formulas used to calculate state funding for school districts.

Before begging for more money from their local assemblies, will school districts agree to consider all options – including consolidating or closing facilities and cutting back on non-essential programs?

At the University of Alaska, the second phase of their three-year budget reduction plan will kick in next year – further impacting local economies where campuses are located.

The University has no choice but to explore boosting other revenues. Obviously, tuition will need to be reviewed. But before local communities are asked to help support our university system, what other outside sources of income are available?

By all accounts, university alumni fundraising is lagging — as is private support for their athletic programs. Alumni participation rates and average giving are significantly below that of other public universities.

All nonprofits would be wise to take a long, hard look at their operations to verify that their expenses and services are truly directed at their core mission and can be justified in this budget environment.

Grants from the Rasmuson Foundation and other grant providers will be under even greater demand.

The departure from the oil patch of British Petroleum, whose philanthropy has provided millions of dollars in charitable contributions within Alaska each year will strain nonprofit budgets even further.

As individuals, we’ll all need to dig deeper to help maintain needed social services.

Alaskans have been rescued in the past by rising oil prices.

But that won’t happen this time. This time it’s real. Believe it.


• Win Gruening retired as the senior vice president in charge of business banking for Key Bank in 2012. He was born and raised in Juneau and is active in community affairs as a 30-plus year member of Juneau Downtown Rotary Club and has been involved in various local and statewide organizations. Columns, My Turns and Letters to the Editor represent the view of the author, not the view of the Juneau Empire.


More in Opinion

Web
Have something to say?

Here’s how to add your voice to the conversation.

After Hurricane Katrina in 2005, many Louisiana homes were rebuilt with the living space on the second story, with garage space below, to try to protect the home from future flooding. (Infrogmation of New Orleans via Wikimedia, CC BY-SA)
Misperceptions stand in way of disaster survivors wanting to rebuild safer, more sustainable homes

As Florida and the Southeast begin recovering from 2024’s destructive hurricanes, many… Continue reading

The F/V Liberty, captained by Trenton Clark, fishes the Pacific near Metlakatla on Aug. 20, 2024. (Ash Adams/The New York Times)
My Turn: Charting a course toward seafood independence for Alaska’s vulnerable food systems

As a commercial fisherman based in Sitka and the executive director of… Continue reading

People watch a broadcast of Former President Donald Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, delivering a speech at Times Square in New York, on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024. (Graham Dickie/The New York Times)
Opinion: The Democratic Party’s failure of imagination

Aside from not being a lifelong Republican like Peter Wehner, the sentiment… Continue reading

A steady procession of vehicles and students arrives at Juneau-Douglas High School: Yadaa.at Kalé before the start of the new school year on Thursday, Aug. 15, 2024. (Mark Sabbatini / Juneau Empire file photo)
Opinion: Let’s consider tightening cell phones restrictions in Juneau schools

A recent uptick in student fights on and off campus has Juneau… Continue reading

(Juneau Empire file photo)
Letter: Alaskans are smart, can see the advantages of RCV and open primaries

The League of Women Voters is a nonpartisan organization that neither endorses… Continue reading

(Laurie Craig / Juneau Empire file photo)
10 reasons to put country above party labels in election

Like many of you I grew up during an era when people… Continue reading

(Juneau Empire file photo)
Letters: Vote no on ballot measure 2 for the future of Alaska

The idea that ranked choice voting (RCV) is confusing is a red… Continue reading

A map shows state-by-state results of aggregate polls for U.S. presidential candidates Donald Trump (red) and Kamala Harris (blue), with states too close to call in grey, as of Oct. 29. (Wikimedia Commons map)
Opinion: The silent Republican Party betrayal

On Monday night, Donald Trump reported that two Pennsylvania counties had received… Continue reading

(Clarise Larson / Juneau Empire file photo)
My Turn: Election presents stark contrasts

This election, both at the state and federal level, presents a choice… Continue reading

(Juneau Empire file photo)
Letter: Supporting ranked choice voting is the honest choice

Some folks are really up in arms about the increased freedom afforded… Continue reading

Tongass National Forest. (U.S. Forest Service photo)
My Turn: Why I oppose privatization of the Tongass rainforest

Sen. Lisa Murkowski has been trying to privatize the Tongass for years.… Continue reading